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Since 1999, the IMF's staff has been tracking several early-warning-system (EWS) models of...

This paper describes and evaluates the sovereign credit ratings methodologies of Standard &...

This study tests the recent balance sheet explanations of external crises in emerging market...

The forward-looking framework expounded in this paper links a qualitative evaluation of...

This paper develops a new index which provides early warning signals of fiscal sustainability...

This paper proposes a set of fiscal indicators to assess rollover risks using the conceptual...