The Economic Impact of Uncertainty in Mali

Economic uncertainty in Mali has increased over a number of years. Specifically, economic agents have less confidence about predicting the future and see an increased risk of negative outcomes.
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Volume/Issue: Volume 2025 Issue 130
Publication date: October 2025
ISBN: 9798229027151
$15.00
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Investments and Securities-General , Economics- Macroeconomics , Public Finance , Uncertainty , risk , growth-at-risk , fragility , heightened policy uncertainty , IMF country , issues paper , IMF staff , uncertainty in Mali , Futures , Consumption , Private investment , Global , Sub-Saharan Africa

Summary

Economic uncertainty in Mali has increased over a number of years. Specifically, economic agents have less confidence about predicting the future and see an increased risk of negative outcomes. Heightened policy uncertainty is expected to weigh on GDP growth in Mali by reducing the ability of businesses and households to plan ahead with confidence, which typically results in lower investment and consumption. This paper highlights some ways the authorities in Mali could reduce policy uncertainty, which would create the conditions for stronger GDP growth.