Iceland: 2023 Article IV Consultation-Press Release; Staff Report; and Statement by the Executive Director for Iceland

Author: International Monetary Fund. European Dept.

Volume/Issue: Volume 2023 Issue 217

Publication date: June 2023

ISBN: 9798400246784

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Topics covered in this book

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Finance , Inflation , Economics- Macroeconomics , Money and Monetary Policy , Public Finance , Business and Economics - Statistics , International - Economics , inflation expectation , headline inflation , monetary policy horizon , deteriorating inflation outlook , cash flow , policy tightening , Inflation , Fiscal stance , Pension spending , Financial Sector Assessment Program , Government finance statistics , Global

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Summary

Iceland has recovered from the shocks of recent years faster than envisaged and scarring from the pandemic is expected to be minimal. The recovery reflects pent-up demand from the pandemic, a rebound of the tourism industry, rapid immigration, and the fact that, unlike most European countries, Iceland experienced an improvement in its terms of trade in 2022. The economy is currently operating above potential. Absent an adjustment in policies, imbalances are likely to increase. Risks are tilted to the downside.