Guinea-Bissau continues to face a challenging economic and political
environment. Recent downward shocks to cashew exports are adding pressures to the
balance of payments and fiscal revenue. Tightening of regional financial conditions continue
to raise borrowing costs. Since the political crisis in December 2023, underlying social
tension has been high, and the next legislative election has been postponed to complete
preparatory steps required by law. Despite these challenges, growth has been resilient,
supported by strong public and private investments, and high producer prices of cashew
nuts due to increased competition among exporters and strengthened securities measures.
Risks to the outlook remain tilted towards the downside.