Ghana: Technical Assistance Report-Report on Developing the Forecasting and Policy Analysis System (FPAS) at the Bank of Ghana (BOG)

Ghana: Technical Assistance Report-Report on Developing the Forecasting and Policy Analysis System (FPAS) at the Bank of Ghana (BOG)
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Volume/Issue: Volume 2024 Issue 080
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Monetary policy , Inflation targeting , Central banks , Inflation , Output gap , Exchange rate , Monetary policy transmission , Ghana

Summary

This technical assistance (TA) report presents the outcomes of the multi-year Bank of Ghana (BOG) Forecasting and Policy Analysis System (FPAS) TA project, conducted between late-2019 and mid-2024 over a total of seven missions, three in-person and four virtual. The project has focused on upgrading and building new institutional capacity for model-based policy analysis and macroeconomic forecasting, along its integration into monetary policy processes and external communications. BOG staff has made remarkable progress and built a strong skillset in providing analytical support to the policymakers. Model-based work plays an important role in the BOG internal deliberations and represents the key input in forward-looking monetary policy formulation, including in regular external communications. Remaining recommendations relate to ensuring FPAS work sustainability and further streamline external communications.