El Salvador has recovered well from the pandemic, supported by robust
remittances and buoyant tourism flows, amid a sharp improvement in the country’s
security situation. Inflation has fallen and the external imbalances have narrowed more
recently, consistent with a gradual improvement in public finances and favorable terms
of trade. In this context, sovereign spreads have come down sharply with recent debt
buyback operations helping to ease near-term external financing needs. Despite recent
progress, El Salvador’s macroeconomic imbalances remain significant, stemming from
high fiscal deficits and debt, as well as low external and financial buffers, in the context
of dollarization. Meanwhile, underlying productivity remains low, reflecting in part
persistent social and infrastructure gaps, as well as a legacy of weak governance and
transparency, which have discouraged investment. The Bukele administration is intent
on focusing its second mandate on addressing pending macroeconomic and structural
challenges and boosting economic growth, under an IMF-supported program.