Determinants of Angola’s Parallel Market Real Exchange Rate

The paper estimates Angola's equilibrium parallel market real exchange rate during the 1992-98 period. Using standard integration/co-integration techniques, the results fail to support the purchasing power parity hypothesis and indicate that two exogenous variables-the price of oil and the foreign interest rate-are able to explain most of the variation in the real exchange rate during the last seven years. These results contrast with the tenet that the parallel market exchange rate in Angola is solely influenced by monetary developments.
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Volume/Issue: Volume 1999 Issue 090
Publication date: July 1999
ISBN: 9781451851373
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Business and Economics , WP , price level , real exchange rates , co-integration , exchange rate specification , time-series properties , PPP hypothesis , adjustment coefficient , market rate , world interest rate , Purchasing power parity , Multiple currency practices , Exchange rates , Exchange rate assessments

Summary

The paper estimates Angola’s equilibrium parallel market real exchange rate during the 1992–98 period. Using standard integration/co-integration techniques, the results fail to support the purchasing power parity hypothesis and indicate that two exogenous variables—the price of oil and the foreign interest rate—are able to explain most of the variation in the real exchange rate during the last seven years. These results contrast with the tenet that the parallel market exchange rate in Angola is solely influenced by monetary developments.